Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.006163 0.006866 0.007629 0.008524 0.009547 0.010683 0.012045
2025-06-08 0.004876 0.005795 0.006876 0.008250 0.009963 0.012048 0.014802
2025-06-15 0.004267 0.005293 0.006563 0.008271 0.010535 0.013474 0.017646
2025-06-22 0.003943 0.005066 0.006518 0.008563 0.011419 0.015344 0.021283
2025-06-29 0.003534 0.004668 0.006184 0.008400 0.011630 0.016281 0.023709
2025-07-06 0.003198 0.004326 0.005878 0.008223 0.011770 0.017098 0.026031
2025-07-13 0.002968 0.004104 0.005709 0.008211 0.012133 0.018265 0.029050
2025-07-20 0.002831 0.003998 0.005693 0.008415 0.012835 0.020034 0.033326
2025-07-27 0.002642 0.003798 0.005515 0.008344 0.013081 0.021071 0.036473
2025-08-03 0.002492 0.003643 0.005390 0.008339 0.013424 0.022304 0.040162
2025-08-10 0.002338 0.003469 0.005219 0.008240 0.013589 0.023229 0.043395
2025-08-17 0.002231 0.003362 0.005144 0.008291 0.014018 0.024681 0.047933
2025-08-24 0.002100 0.003211 0.004995 0.008217 0.014241 0.025834 0.052198
2025-08-31 0.001942 0.003008 0.004747 0.007948 0.014079 0.026223 0.054898
2025-09-07 0.001852 0.002909 0.004665 0.007969 0.014470 0.027781 0.060615
2025-09-14 0.001812 0.002891 0.004721 0.008248 0.015402 0.030615 0.070081
2025-09-21 0.001707 0.002754 0.004556 0.008092 0.015426 0.031464 0.074678
2025-09-28 0.001609 0.002623 0.004393 0.007923 0.015400 0.032195 0.079130
2025-10-05 0.001541 0.002542 0.004313 0.007912 0.015712 0.033758 0.086296
2025-10-12 0.001507 0.002517 0.004335 0.008107 0.016501 0.036596 0.097969
2025-10-19 0.001441 0.002431 0.004235 0.008039 0.016686 0.037957 0.105482
2025-10-26 0.001387 0.002363 0.004167 0.008034 0.017015 0.039741 0.114880
2025-11-02 0.001326 0.002280 0.004062 0.007939 0.017118 0.040938 0.122647